"
RISK and
UNCERTAINTY are central to forecasting and prediction; it is generally considered good practice to indicate the degree of uncertainty attaching to forecasts. In any case, the data must be up to date in order for the forecast to be as accurate as possible. In some cases the data used to predict the variable of interest is itself forecasted"
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/10293523.2016.1255469?journalCode=riaj20
nowhere did I say something was "TRUE"...you're like that student in biology class who can't quite grasp the fundamentals of hypothesis and methodology...in which the student has to create a viable argument based on previous data to make a stable hypothesis. They don't understand so they keep their minds stuck in a previous narrative. I have grown past that and can now use words that encompass more sophisticated ideas.
"Typical" is a word used to give weight to uncertainty and push it toward a more certain future..although there are still constraints placed on the word, it lends a higher degree of viability to the statement because it implies a correlation to previous events.
Let me dumb it down for you : Forecasting doesn't mean it's 'True'..it means there is a significant possibility that it may happen, 'significance' meaning, based on the constraints of previous data ..if I wanted to say it was 'True' then I would have used the word 'True"...I never used the word though..it's not scientific in any sense of the word